7 Jan

2024

Empoli and AC Milan

Win! Analyse was correct

Missed! Analyse was wrong

The Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan on January 7, 2024, presents a classic David vs. Goliath scenario, with Milan looking to maintain their title chase against a struggling Empoli side.

Empoli’s Struggle and Survival Effort:Empoli, 19th in the Serie A standings, has been grappling with significant challenges. Their inability to score consistently, evidenced by managing only 10 goals in 18 matches, has been a major contributor to their plight. Empoli has shown some resilience in recent games, securing draws against teams like Genoa, Lecce, and Cagliari, and even pulling off an upset against Napoli. However, their home performance has been particularly poor, earning just five points and having the league's worst attacking output​​​​​​.

Milan’s Quest for Consistency:Milan, on the other hand, is positioned third in the league and has been in impressive form. They are coming off a comfortable 4-1 win against Cagliari in the Coppa Italia and have secured four wins in their last six Serie A matches. Despite missing several first-team players due to injuries and the Africa Cup of Nations, key figures like Olivier Giroud, Christian Pulisic, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and Rafael Leao are expected to return to the lineup. Their recent record against Empoli is favorable, with 12 wins in the last 22 matches, and they have historically performed well in away games against Empoli​​​​​​.

Tactical Analysis and Player Impact:Empoli's defensive woes are compounded by the absence of key defenders, while Milan’s squad, despite grappling with absences, can still field a strong lineup. Players like Giroud and Theo Hernandez could be instrumental in breaking Empoli's resistance. In contrast, Empoli's lack of attacking output and creativity might not pose a significant threat to Milan's defense​​.

Predictions and Betting Tips:

  • Empoli vs AC Milan: The predictions and betting tips lean heavily in favor of an AC Milan victory. The consensus is that Milan’s superior form and Empoli’s scoring struggles could lead to a clean sheet for Milan. The score predictions range from 2-0 to 3-1 in favor of Milan.
  • Betting Advice: The recommended bets are on AC Milan to win, with a preference for a low-scoring game (under 2.5 goals) or a win to nil for Milan. This is based on Empoli's offensive challenges and Milan's efficiency rather than their scoring volume​​​​​​​​​​.

Conclusion and Best Bet:Considering the form of both teams, the historical data, and current squad strengths, the best outcome to bet on is an AC Milan win, potentially with a low total score (under 2.5 goals) or to nil. Empoli’s struggles in front of goal and Milan’s recent form make this a favorable bet, although the unpredictable nature of football means there's always an element of risk.